About me
I am a Professor at the University of Glasgow working on forecasting and analytics, particularly those which empower decision-makers with uncertainty information allowing them to make better decisions and control risk. I’m interested in the production, end-use and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts, and often work at the intersection of statistics, engineering, and meteorology.
I work extensively with the energy sector and have developed novel methodologies for wind, solar, price and demand forecasting (and occasionally other things too), and associated decision-making problems. These include energy trading, power system operation and asset management. As well as improving forecast quality, I’m interested in the effective communication of complex forecast information, which is crucial to support decision-makers. This is especially important as our energy systems become ever more complex and weather-dependent. Several electricity generators and network operators currently use forecasting and decision-support tools that I helped develop.
In addition to my research and innovation activities, I am currently seconded to the forecasting team at the National Energy System Operator, teach on the University of Glasgow Statistics & Data Analytics programmes, and act as a consultant.